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Who do you believe? Punxsutawney Phil or Dunkirk Dave?

The Pennsylvania prognosticator predicts an early spring, but Dunkirk’s groundhog forecaster disagrees.

Punxsutawney Phil did not see his shadow Tuesday morning during the annual rite of winter weather forecasting in Punxsutawney, Pa.

That means winter’s on its way out, according to the famous groundhog.

Locally, we’re looking at six more weeks of winter, though, according to Dunkirk Dave, who did see his shadow on Tuesday morning.

Last year, Dunkirk Dave and Kenmore Kate predicted an early spring.

The University at Buffalo’s geology department will hold its annual Groundhog Day cookout later today. Ridge Lea Larry, a taxidermied groundhog who first made an appearance in 1983, is set to make another prediction. The cookout is set to start at 11:45 a.m. at the Natural Sciences Complex UB’s North Campus.

The tradition comes from an early Christian holiday known as Candlemas, when candles were distributed. Clear skies meant a longer winter, according to Pennsylvania tourism officials. The Roman legions spread the tradition to the Germans, who brought it to Pennsylvania, where a group of groundhog hunters calling themselves “The Punxsutawney Groundhog Club” formed in 1886.

We’re still awaiting word from Rochester Rocky and Long Island’s Holtsville Hal and Malverne Mel. And don’t forget Staten Island Chuck.

email: citydesk@buffnews.com