On Dec. 1, 2014, more than 20 inches of snow was already recorded at the Buffalo Niagara International Airport, making it the second-snowiest autumn of the century.
By the end of this week, Buffalo is expected to set a new mark for the least-snowiest start to the season spanning three centuries of recorded weather history.
November 2015, at an average temperature of 46.2 degrees, finished as the seventh-warmest in Buffalo's recorded weather history. The warmest was an average of 47.9 degrees in 1931.
It was also among the most dry. There was 1.40 inches of rainfall during the month, which is 2.61 inches less precipitation than an average November.
Forecasts show there may be some snow falling in higher elevations during a storm system late Wednesday night in the Buffalo Niagara Region, but there's no immediate snow in sight in metro Buffalo, according to Tuesday's National Weather Service forecast discussion:
EXPECT UP TO AN INCH ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN FROM SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES INTO THE SOUTHERN TIER...THE BRISTOL HILLS...AND ALSO THE HIGHER TERRAIN EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. TEMPERATURES WILL NEVER DROP BELOW FREEZING AT LOWER ELEVATIONS...WHICH SHOULD PREVENT ANY MEASURABLE SNOW. IF BUFFALO CAN ESCAPE THIS PERIOD WITH NO MEASURABLE SNOW... A NEW RECORD WILL BE SET FOR THE LATEST FIRST MEASURABLE SNOW. IN FACT THE RECORD WOULD BE SHATTERED WITH LITTLE SNOW POTENTIAL IN THE LONG TERM THROUGH AT LEAST DAY 10. THE PREVIOUS LATEST MEASURABLE SNOW ON RECORD AT BUFFALO WAS DECEMBER 3RD SET IN 1899.
Weather service forecasters are also calling for a warmer than average month of December.
A "measurable snowfall" is defined by the weather service as one that is at least one-tenth of an inch, anything less is called a "trace" of snow.
Traces of snow have been recorded this year at BNIA on Oct. 17 and 18 as well as on Nov. 20, 21, 23, 24 and 28.
Here's a look at how late autumn snowfall totals at Buffalo have been since weather service records started being kept at the airport in Cheektowaga during World War II:
Snowiest October: 2006, 22.6 inches
Snowiest November: 2000, 45.6 inches
Least snowiest years at BNIA as of Dec. 1: 2015, 2011, 2009, 1946; trace
First measurable snow during those years:
2011: Dec. 2, 0.4 inches
2009: Dec. 1, 5.8 inches
1946: Dec. 2, 1.0 inches